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Probability for Learning
Probability Density Function
A probability density function describes how probability is distributed over continuous values.
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Probability Density Function
Definition
A probability density function describes how probability is distributed over continuous values.
Short form:
PDF
Example:
X = height
Height can vary continuously, so probability is described over intervals.
PDF = probability structure for continuous values.
Density Is Not Direct Probability
For continuous variables, the probability of one exact value is usually 0.
Example:
P(height = exactly 170.000000... cm) = 0
This does not mean the value is impossible in ordinary language.
It means probability is spread over a continuum.
Continuous probability is assigned to intervals, not exact points.
Probability Over An Interval
For a continuous variable, we ask:
P(160 <= X <= 170)
not usually:
P(X = 165)
The PDF tells how much probability density lies across the interval.
The total probability over an interval is the area under the density curve.
Interval probability comes from area under the density.
Valid PDF
A valid PDF must satisfy:
density is never negative
total area under the curve is 1
The values of the PDF itself do not need to add like discrete probabilities.
The area matters.
For PDFs, probability is area, not height alone.
PDF vs PMF
PMF:
discrete values
probability on each value
PDF:
continuous values
probability over intervals
Example:
die roll -> PMF
temperature -> PDF
PMFs assign probability to points; PDFs assign density across ranges.
Why Density Matters For Learning
Some model outputs or data values are continuous.
Examples:
predicted house price
sensor reading
time duration
embedding coordinate
For these, uncertainty may be represented as a continuous distribution.
PDFs help describe uncertainty over continuous quantities.
Avoiding A Common Confusion
The PDF value at a point is not the probability of that point.
Example:
density at x = 5
does not mean:
P(X = 5)
It helps determine probability around that point through an interval.
Density at a point is local probability concentration, not direct point probability.
Final Summary
- A PDF describes probability over continuous values.
- Exact point probability is usually 0 for continuous variables.
- Probability is assigned to intervals.
- Interval probability is area under the density curve.
- A valid PDF is nonnegative and has total area 1.
- PMF is for discrete values; PDF is for continuous values.
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Expectation